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September 2010 Blog Posts (202)

SMF Notes End of Day Summary:

SMF Notes Market Update: Stocks Slip Despite Strong September



Upbeat data helped take stocks to new multi-month highs, but their inability to hold the move has invited some selling pressure into the quarter's end. Still, September is shaping up to be a strong month... Stocks looked a bit weak ahead of the open as word of a downgrade on Spain 's debt and the need for new capital in Ireland 's banking sector had weighed on Europe 's bourses.…
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Added by ken flagg on September 30, 2010 at 7:04pm — No Comments

Market Rally September


Added by ken flagg on September 30, 2010 at 6:55pm — No Comments

SMF Notes Overnight Summary -- World markets generally weak after poor Japan data,

Thursday, September 30, 2010 6:16 AM





Japan kicked off the night with a series of poor data that was generally below expectations. The Nomura Manufacturing PMI fell for the first time since June of 2009. Japan also came in with dissapointing Industrial Production, Retail Sales and Retail trade figures. The yen continued to appreciate. In response to all of this, the Nikkei plummeted 2% today. Bucking the trend was the Shanghai which closed…
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Added by ken flagg on September 30, 2010 at 7:32am — No Comments

SMF Notes For This Morning 09/30/10

SMF Notes Overnight Summary -- World markets generally weak after poor Japan data,



Thursday, September 30, 2010 6:16 AM



Japan kicked off the night with a series of poor data that was generally below expectations. The Nomura Manufacturing PMI fell for the first time since June of 2009. Japan also came in with dissapointing Industrial Production, Retail Sales and Retail trade figures. The yen continued to appreciate. In response to all…
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Added by ken flagg on September 30, 2010 at 7:30am — No Comments

SMF Notes Market Internals

The S&P 500 is down 1 0.1%) to 1147, the Dow is down 3 (0%) to 10855 and the Nasdaq is down 1 (0%) at 2379. Action has come on near average volume (NYSE 380 mln vs avg of 389 mln; NASDAQ 930 mln vs. avg. of 879 mln), with advancers outpacing decliners (NYSE advancers/decliners 1724/1144, NASDAQ advancers/decliners 1392/1080) and with new highs outpacing new lows (NYSE new highs/new lows, 146/6, NASDAQ 112/7).



ETF relative…
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Added by ken flagg on September 29, 2010 at 10:45pm — No Comments

SMF Notes UHN Global, sector, & commodity ETF money flows-

Actively Traded Leading Global, Regional, & Domestic Sector ETFs:
heating oil- UHN +3.25%, solar power- TAN +3.0%, crude/WTI oil- OIL +2.0%, USO +2.0%, oil drillers & energy components- OIH +2.0%, XOP +1.75%, IEO +1.75%, XES +1.50%, clean energy- PBW +1.75%, RBOB gas- UGA +1.75%, cocoa- NIB +1.50%, ISE Revere nat gas index- FCG +1.50%, Thailand- THD +1.25%, VIX vol index- VXX +1.25%, commods index- DBC +1.0%, GSG +1.0%.

Added by ken flagg on September 29, 2010 at 10:43pm — No Comments

SMF Notes For This Morning 09/29/10

SMF Notes SMF STOCK UPGRADES AND DOWNGRADES



Upgrades:



* France Telecom (FTE 21.84) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas



Downgrades:



* Range Resources (RRC 36.94), SM Energy (SM 37.53), and GMX Resources (GMXR 4.32) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies

* Advent Software (ADVS 53.71) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham



Miscellaneous:



* MGM Resorts (MGM 11.44),…
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Added by ken flagg on September 29, 2010 at 8:16am — No Comments

SMF Notes End of Day Summary: Stocks Settle with Solid Gains

Despite an early slide, stocks were able to settle with solid, broad gains Tuesday... The major averages opened with narrow gains after a member of the Bank of England made the case for further monetary stimulus. The comments, along with speculation that European central banks will purchase troubled debt, helped relieve worries about sovereign debt... However, sellers were quick to step into the action. Their efforts intensified with the September… Continue

Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 9:27pm — No Comments

SMF Notes GMCR Green Mtn Coffee discloses SEC inquiry and overstatement of income

From today's 8-K: "In connection with the preparation of its financial results for its fourth fiscal quarter, the Company's management discovered an immaterial accounting error relating to the margin percentage it had been using to eliminate the inter-company markup in its K-Cup inventory balance residing at its Keurig business unit. Management discovered that the gross margin percentage used to eliminate the inter-company markup resulted in a lower… Continue

Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 9:25pm — No Comments

SMF Notes American consumers to lose confidence in September indicating spending will take time to recover

Tuesday, September 28, 2010 6:42 PM



Mounting gloom over the outlook for jobs and wages caused American consumers to lose confidence in September, indicating spending will take time to recover.



The Conference Board’s sentiment index declined to 48.5 this month, lower than the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and the weakest level since February, according to figures from the New York-based private research group…
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Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 9:24pm — No Comments

SMF Notes Market Internals

The Dow increased 46.10 points (or 0.43%) closing at 10858.14, the Nasdaq was up 9.82 points (or 0.41%) to finish at 2379.59 and the S&P was up 5.54 points (or 0.49%) to finish at 1147.70.



Today's movement came from lower than avg. volume on the NYSE and higher than avg. volume on the Nasdaq (NYSE 1027 closing avg of 1243; Nasdaq 2127,…
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Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 5:34pm — No Comments

SMF Notes Ireland Leads Surge in Sovereign Default Swaps on Bailout Costs CDS Cost Rise

Ireland Leads Surge in Sovereign Default Swaps on Bailout Costs CDS Cost Rise

http://clicks.aweber.com/y/ct/?l=Bt3AF&m=Js5nUnoXr5CWjF&b=isoyuawnY6EddTrv3zsfdA

Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 4:36pm — No Comments

SMF Notes Filings, Offerings, Pricings and IPOs

Filings:



* Associated Estates (AEC) filed for an 8 mln share common stock offering.

* Utd Nat Foods (UNFI) filed for a 3.85 mln share common stock offering.

* Entropic Comms (ENTR) filed for a 10 mln share common stock offering.

* American Capital Agency (AGNC) filed for a 10 mln share common stock offering.

* Columbia Labs (CBRX) filed for a ~13.85 mln share common stock offering by selling shareholders.

* GP…
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Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 4:33pm — No Comments

SMF Notes Filings, Offerings, Pricings and IPOs

Filings:



* Associated Estates (AEC) filed for an 8 mln share common stock offering.

* Utd Nat Foods (UNFI) filed for a 3.85 mln share common stock offering.

* Entropic Comms (ENTR) filed for a 10 mln share common stock offering.

* American Capital Agency (AGNC) filed for a 10 mln share common stock offering.

* Columbia Labs (CBRX) filed for a ~13.85 mln share common stock offering by selling shareholders.

* GP…
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Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 9:02am — No Comments

SMF Notes S&P futures vs fair value: +2.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.80.

Stocks finished the prior session near their lows, but the tone of trade this morning is rather flat. Asia's averages fell overnight in response to Wall Street's weak finish, but Europe 's major bourses are back near the neutral line after each fell about 1% amid renewed concerns about sovereign debt. The euro has also mended its early morning loss so that it now sports a slight lead over the dollar. Corporate news flow is light with both Walgreens… Continue

Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 8:58am — No Comments

SMF Notes Pre Market Upgrades and Downgrades

Upgrades:



* Las Vegas Sands (LVS 35.10) upgraded to Hold from Underweight at Keybanc; tgt $19

* Pulte (PHM 8.72) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman

* Applied Signal (APSG 23.68) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Merriman. See 6:58 comment for details.



Downgrades:



* Hospira (HSP 57.10) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Citi

* Target (TGT 54.39) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse; tgt cut to…
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Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 8:52am — No Comments

SMF Notes On The Wiresm

Aceto Corporation (ACET) announced that it has received the USDA approval to sell its suppliers companion animal vaccine in the United States ... AECOM Technology Corporation (ACM) announced that it was awarded a master services agreement worth approximately $10 mln annually for the Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo in Alberta , Canada ... Berry Petroleum Company (BRY) announced that it has received approval from the California Division of Oil, Gas… Continue

Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 8:51am — No Comments

SMF Notes Overnight Summary

Tuesday, September 28, 2010 7:20 AM



Asian shares gave back much of yesterday's gains. In Tokyo , it was ex-dividend day which helped put pressure on shares. Additionally, traders may be squaring positions ahead of the Tankan Manufacturing data out tomorrow. JGBs are up today as reports circulated that the BOJ will discuss taking steps to ease monetary policy in its next meeting. In Europe, fears arose as rumors were swirling of rating…
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Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 8:49am — No Comments

SMF Notes premarket gappers

Gapping up: STSA +16.7%, CGNX +11.0%, DVD +8.6%, RMKR +8.1%, RVBD +2.9%, RAX +2.7%, CFN +2.3%, RIMM +1.6%, LULU +1.4%, WSO +1.1%.

Gapping down: AEC -7.5%, NR -6.9%, IRE -5.9%, ENTR -5.9%, AIB -5.5%, JBL -3.8%, UNFI -2.5%, CDNS -2.2%, DB -1.7%, SLV -1.4%,

Added by ken flagg on September 28, 2010 at 8:44am — No Comments

SMF Notes PEET Peet's Coffee announces price increase in response to rising coffee costs

Co announced that in response to the ~35% rise in green Arabica coffee prices since the beginning of this year, it will raise the price on most drinks by $0.10 and on beans sold in Peet's stores an average of 8%, effective September 29, 2010. Co reaffirmed its fiscal 2010 GAAP diluted earnings per share target of $1.22 to $1.25 and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share target of $1.27 to $1.30 vs $1.29 consensus. The non-GAAP earnings per share target… Continue

Added by ken flagg on September 27, 2010 at 10:58pm — No Comments

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