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Ken flagg's Blog – October 2010 Archive (92)

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SMF Notes Market Internals

The Dow increased 4.54 points (or 0.04%) closing at 11118.49 the Nasdaq was up 0.04 points (or 0.00%) to finish at 2507.41 and the S&P was down 0.52 points (or 0.04%) to finish at 1183.26.


Today's movement came from higher than avg. volume (NYSE 1034…
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Added by ken flagg on October 29, 2010 at 6:23pm — No Comments

SMF Notes Commodities Weekly: Natural Gas, Ag Commods and Precious Metals Performed Well This Week; Crude Remains Below $82 Level

Looking more closely at energy, September crude oil futures, which fell 0.3% to close at $81.41 for the week spent the majority of the week in positive territory, but on a slight downtrend. On Wednesday, crude lost steam and sold off, losing about $2, heading into the weekly inventory data. It remained near those levels following the data and ended the week near week lows of $80.52.Inventory data on Wednesday showed a build of…
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Added by ken flagg on October 29, 2010 at 6:21pm — No Comments

SMF Notes End of Day Summary: Quiet Finish for October

Friday, October 29, 2010 5:42 PM


The S&P 500 stayed near the neutral line almost all session as participants shrugged off the latest round of earnings reports and in-line GDP data. The dollar also failed to provide participants with direction as it traded…
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Added by ken flagg on October 29, 2010 at 6:19pm — No Comments

SMF Notes Early Research Calls 1

Upgrades:

Cardinal Health (CAH 34.33) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird; tgt raised to $41 from $37. Firm note it had been warming to co for some time, and view FY1Q as a turning point. It views results as solid, including an $0.11 EPS beat, and it sees a clear path to upside vs. FY11 guidance and consensus. Firm notes an improving healthcare distribution and market backdrop yields more attractive relative valuation, while… Continue

Added by ken flagg on October 29, 2010 at 10:33am — No Comments

SMF Notes Market Internals

The Dow decreased 12.33 points (or 0.11%) closing at 11113.95 the Nasdaq was up 4.11 points (or 0.16%) to finish at 2507.37 and the S&P was up 1.33 points (or 0.11%) to finish at 1183.78.


Today's movement came from lower than avg. volume (NYSE 1010 closing…
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Added by ken flagg on October 28, 2010 at 7:34pm — No Comments

SMF Notes CSTR Coinstar Q3 conf call summary (46.26 +0.66)

CVS chose Redbox for nationwide rollout. CVS pilot with Redbox demonstrated an increase in traffic and revenue... One of the key drivers in revenue going forward will be blueray. Co will seek to increase content depth of blueray to 10% from 5%...FY10 installations, net: 8.3-8.5K redboxKiosks, 7.5-7.7K DVD Kiosks, (200)-0 Coin Kiosks...Redbox digital space: co's $1 price point for new releases will be unmatched in the digital…
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Added by ken flagg on October 28, 2010 at 7:32pm — No Comments

SMF Notes End of Day Summary: Another Flat Finish Despite Data and Dollar's Drop

Stocks settled mixed with the major equity averages near the neutral line. The lack of direction came despite encouraging data and a sharp drop by the dollar, but preceded the advance GDP report for the third quarter.


The S&P 500 was up about 0.6% at its…
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Added by ken flagg on October 28, 2010 at 5:59pm — No Comments

SMF Notes MSFT Microsoft beats by $0.07, beats on revs (26.28 +0.23)

Reports Q1 (Sep) earnings of $0.62 per share, $0.07 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.55; revenues rose 25.3% year/year to $16.2 bln vs the $15.8 bln consensus. Co reports Q1 operating margins of 44.0% vs 39.8% Thomson Reuters consensus.

Added by ken flagg on October 28, 2010 at 5:55pm — No Comments

FSLR First Solar beats by $0.26, beats on revs; guides FY10 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus (151.15)

Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $2.21 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.26 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $1.95; The third quarter net income excludes a one-time tax expense of $14.7 million, or $0.17 per fully diluted share, relating to the Company's decision to repatriate $300 million of earnings from certain of its foreign subsidiaries revenues rose 65.9% year/year to $797.7 mln vs the $778.5 mln…
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Added by ken flagg on October 28, 2010 at 5:51pm — No Comments

SMF Notes KLAC KLA-Tencor beats by $0.13, beats on revs

Reports Q1 (Sep) earnings of $0.99 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.13 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.86; revenues rose 98.8% year/year to $682 mln vs the $647.3 mln consensus. "... Orders were strong, backlog increased and we delivered outstanding gross and operating margins in the quarter."

Added by ken flagg on October 28, 2010 at 5:47pm — No Comments

SMF Notes AAPL Apple: No new guidance in F2010 10-K filing; concerns overdone



Kaufman notes yesterday, AAPL filed its 10-K for F2010 commenting that gross margin would likely decline in F2011. Various newswires interpreted this as news and a guidedown. This isn't the case and is consistent with what AAPL said on its recent earnings call, not to mention in every annual 10-K filing about the upcoming fiscal year as far as firm can remember. FBR is not saying we are not concerned with a…
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Added by ken flagg on October 28, 2010 at 5:36pm — No Comments

SMF Notes Early premarket gappers

Gapping up: LVS +10.6%, NEWP +10.6%, FLEX +9.4%, USU +8.5%, CHRS +8.4%, ITRI +8.0%, LAD +7.4%, MLNX +6.8%, IRBT +6.8%, SYMC +6.0%, ENTR +6.0%, IGTE +5.4%, MPEL +5.2%, WYNN +4.0%, LSI +3.0%, RGR +2.6%, HMA +2.6%, TI +2.3%, E +2.0%, MGM +2.0%, MCP +1.8%, REE +1.8%, AKAM +1.7%, BHP +1.6%, CS +1.4%, TAL +1.4%, BP +1.2%, PENN +1.1%, MOS +1.0%.…
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Added by ken flagg on October 28, 2010 at 5:30pm — No Comments

SMF Notes V Visa: Color on qtr (79.92 )

* Oppenheimer notes, last night, V posted strong 4Q:FY10 results (Sept.) with EPS growth of 38% Y/Y to $0.95 (vs. its/Street est of $0.93/95). Upside was primarily driven by lower than expected volume/support incentives and a lower tax rate. Visa remains confident it can effectively navigate the debit interchange legislation but did not provide an outlook beyond FY11. That said, management affirmed prior EPS growth expectations…
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Added by ken flagg on October 28, 2010 at 5:27pm — No Comments

SMF Notes After Hours Summary: L

LVS +10.6%, FLEX +10.2%, SYMC +5.8%, AKAM +2.6%, SKX -13.5%, V -2.2% Following Earnings/Guidance



After Hours Gainers:



Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: LVS +10.6%, FLEX +10.2%, USU +7.9%, SYMC +5.8%, ICO +4.0%, AFFX +3.5%, ENTR +2.8%, AKAM +2.6%, LSI +2.5%, AEM +1.9%.



Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: MLNX +6.3% (Mellanox Tech: Oracle Makes Strategic Investment in… Continue

Added by ken flagg on October 28, 2010 at 6:34am — No Comments

SMF Notes Earnings October 27 2010

SMF Notes Today's most active stocks



Wednesday, October 27, 2010 1:07 PM



The following are today's most active stocks ranked by volume and relative volume, categorized by sectors (over $300 mln market cap and 100K average daily volume).



Today's top 20 volume



* Technology: S (101.71 mln -8.39%), CTV (58.55 mln +3.71%), MSFT (23.35 mln -0.27%), BRCD (21.59 mln +5.6%), INTC (21.15 mln -0.83%), BRCM (20.56 mln +9.54%),… Continue

Added by ken flagg on October 27, 2010 at 10:29pm — No Comments

SMF Notes WRAPX S&P futures vs fair value: -4.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -8.30.

Earnings continue to come in better than analysts had anticipated, but that has failed to lift stock futures in the face of continued gains by the greenback. The dollar is currently up 0.3% against competing currencies, overshadowing bottom line beats from Comcast (CMCSA), Procter & Gamble (PG), Aflac (AFL), Broadcom (BRCM), and Whirlpool (WHR). Sprint Nextel (S) and Southern Co. (SO) were among the handful of names that came short of expectations.… Continue

Added by ken flagg on October 27, 2010 at 8:40am — No Comments

SMF Notes Early Floor Talk: Dollar strength weighs on futures

Equity futures are modestly lower this morning, with S&P futures -5 vs. fair value and DJ futures -38. The weaker bias comes on a stronger dollar, which has recently been a very good inverse indicator for stocks/commodities. The dollar had pulled back to the flat line from overnight highs, but it is now moving back toward those highs, with the dollar index (DXY) now +0.235 at 77.943. Strength in the dollar overnight followed a WSJ story discussing… Continue

Added by ken flagg on October 27, 2010 at 8:38am — No Comments

SMF Notes DRIV Digital River beats by $0.07, beats on revs; guides Q4 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus



Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.20 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.07 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.13; revenues fell 14.5% year/year to $85.0 mln vs the $77.7 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $0.28-0.31, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.28 Thomson Reuters consensus; sees Q4 revs…
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Added by ken flagg on October 25, 2010 at 9:19pm — No Comments

SMF Notes TXN Texas Instruments beats by $0.02, beats on revs, both in-line with narrowed guidance; guides Q4 EPS in-line, revs in-line

Monday, October 25, 2010 5:04 P


Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.71 per share, $0.02 better than the Thomson Reuters consensus of $0.69; revenues rose 29.9% year/year to $3.74 bln vs the $3.69 bln consensus. Q3 operating margin 32.8% vs 32.8% consensus Co issues…
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Added by ken flagg on October 25, 2010 at 9:18pm — No Comments

SMF Notes Stocks trading well above there 200 day moving averages

ISLN 103.5%
NFLX 62.88%
PPO 58.80%
LVS 56.19%
BIDU 52.96%…
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Added by ken flagg on October 22, 2010 at 11:24pm — No Comments

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